Q. Is the central aim of all Nuclear Ban
treaties such as CTBT and NPT - disarmament? I assume its the case because
citing the disarmament clause, India hasn't joined either. If not, then please
differentiate (chronologically) as to what was the need of having CTBT when NPT
was already there.
Disarmament
has never been the central theme of both these treaties and that is one of the
reasons India has not joined. Others are that they are discriminatory and
perpetuates the difference between the haves and have-nots. In the discussions
surrounding the CTBT, an important distinction is made between three separate
issues: horizontal proliferation, vertical proliferation, and disarmament.
Horizontal proliferation refers to the development or spread of existing
weapons technology to new or threshold countries such as India, Pakistan,
Israel, South Africa or Brazil. Vertical proliferation, on the other hand,
refers to the upgrading and further development of more sophisticated weapons
by the existing nuclear powers. Disarmament, of course, refers to the
dismantling of existing nuclear weapons by the five nuclear weapon states (N5).
The
most significant feature of the CTBT text, and of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty (NPT) is that they both essentially address only the first of these
goals - horizontal proliferation. while the CTBT requires all its signatories
to stop underground nuclear testing (which would effectively stop horizontal
proliferation), it carefully avoids any substantive or enforceable terms on
either vertical proliferation or disarmament - which would directly apply only
to the existing nuclear powers.
What was the need for having CTBT when NPT was
already there?
The
argument for introducing CTBT was to even avoid tests by the aspiring
countries. One can test even if not to develop weapons. 1974!
Under
the NPT, all signatories were categorized as either nuclear weapon states (NWS)
or non-nuclear weapon states (NNWS) based on their status at the time.
Essentially, the NPT recognized and legitimized the possession of nuclear
weapons by all five declared powers - the U.S., Britain, France, Russia and
China. It is perhaps not a coincidence that these are also the five permanent
members of the Security Council with veto power. All other signatories fell
within the NNWS category and agreed thenceforth not to develop or acquire
nuclear weapon technology. India, Pakistan and Israel were among the countries
that did not accede to the NPT, and were consequently not bound by these
restrictions.
But
the only commitment the N5 themselves had to make under the NPT - (and this was
considered to be the major inducement in 1968 to get the rest of the world to
sign away their nuclear ambitions), was to "pursue negotiations" in
"good faith" to disarming their own stockpiles. In addition, they
were to pursue good faith negotiations to conclude a treaty on complete
disarmament.
Incredibly
enough, in spite of the various "good faith" assurances provided, the
entry into force of the NPT in 1970 actually precipitated a dramatic
acceleration of the weapons programs of the N5. In the first ten years after
signing the NPT, between 1970 and 1980, not only did the N5 not disarm, but the
US (the largest) more than doubled the number of its strategic warheads, the Soviet
Union tripled them, while France and China multiplied their arsenals by four
times!
Npt
deals with proliferation in its entirety. CTBT on physical testing. It
carefully avoided computer simulation for enhancement of capabilities.
There
is even a fmct which bans transfer of fissile material to stop testing and
development. There is even a fmct which bans transfer of fissile material to
stop testing and development. So various regimes were imposed by the N5 to
perpetuate their primacy.
Sir one question.. Wasn't NPT a fallout of
cold war? Soon after Soviet
successfully tested the nuclear weapons US started to negotiate deal on NPT to
continue its hegemony..as I thought to preserve its hegemonic ambitions only US
started putting pressure on all nations including India to abide by NPT and
hence the CTBT.. Correct me if my thinking is wrong here sir..
Cold
war alone is not the cause for NPT but it was recognized that the cold war
deterrent relationship between just the United States and Soviet Union was fragile.
Having more nuclear-weapon states would reduce security for all, multiplying
the risks of miscalculation, accidents, unauthorized use of weapons, or from
escalation in tensions, nuclear conflict.
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