Q. Quantitative Easing and its impact:
Dear Mentor, Could you please tell me why the US quantitative easing is bad for
exporters and call centres in India ?
The use of
quantitative easing is a lasxt resort when interest rates are already set near
zero percent. It is why quantitative easing is an unorthodox monetary policy
since central banks will only perform quantitative easing when all other
options are not helping the economy.
Concerns for
the CIS, BRIC, and other emerging economies is related to how the globalized
nature of the international economy and actions by the United States or the
European Union impact the emerging economies
The effects
of such QE would be :
1. In
general, financial firms that are now free to lend will rush their investments
into the emerging economies. This is because there is a higher rate of return
on investments in emerging countries compared to highly developed countries
like the United States.
2. An
increase of local inflation. As more foreign currency enters into a country,
like a CIS or BRIC country, the local economy reacts with inflation since more
money, foreign or domestic, is available in the local market.
3. Local
currencies could be devalued. With the quantitative easing cheaper, other countries
react by devaluing their currencies so their exchange rates are lower. This can
cause a global currency war, resulting in large scale, impaired economic growth
since citizens will be unable to purchase many goods or services.
4.
Moreover,the money that will come in will be “hot money” and such investments
are very volatile and short term. Hence their later withdrawal from the economy
will lead to spiralling down of the local currency.
5. Due to
the unfavourable and fluctuating market, investors will be skeptical to invest
in the stock markets
6. The EU is
India’s largest trading partner and this will hit the indian exports to the EU
badly
If the
nations of the European Union are not careful with the amount of quantitative
easing they perform, it will have dire consequences around the world. The
European Union and others need to solve their economic problems, but if they
are not careful, their solutions will seriously harm other nations and plunge
the world deeper into economic turmoil.
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