Dear Mentor, 1) Could you please
clarify about the relationship between rupee depreciation and current account
deficit ? How the rupee depreciation will broaden the current account deficit ?
2) How the rupee deprecation will
cause the inflation ?"
Pls come up with points for the
relationship between depreciation and CAD...
Depreciation->Imports
Expensive->Oil imports turn the Current Account deficit wider
So, does depreciation always hurt??
If so, why can't we follow a policy of fixing our INR@ 1rupee=1$..
No, assuming
itnernational competition to be constant- depreciation also makes our Exports
cheaper,it will increase the price of our oil imports, which are inelastic...
What's an inelastic good?
Whose demand
doesn't decrease in proportion to increase in price. A good which has a very low price
sensitivity is said to be inelastic..
Name some inelastic goods. Y are they
inelastic??
Because
they're essential and substitutes are not easily available Eg- Crude Oil,
Tobacco. Gold is also
getting inelastic.
So, depreciation---> imports
become costly, bcoz of huge share of inelastic goods In our import
basket----> current account deficit increases. What's the connect with
inflation??
Oil price
increase - transport charge increase - product price increase , sir
Besides
being inelastic commodities, sir, they're also essential for the economy.
hence, if their prices rise- so
will the supply side inflation
Moreover,
depreciation will increase the interest to be paid on ECBs taken by the Indian
companies from abroad.. So, in the long run, they will pass on this increase in
cost to the Indian consumer.. This also may cause inflation
although the magnitude of ECBs in
India is not so much sir. Is that why partly we were shielded from the
extremely adverse contagion effect of 2008 crisis?
Ya! ECB is
strongly regulated by our central bank(RBI). Companies are not allowed to get
External Commercial Borrowings more than a certain portion of their forex
earnings. That's why India is said to have a not-so- convertible capital
account (ECB is a component in our capital account)...
Sir , if companies pay more money due
to depreciation means , then they will cut the spendings and no hike , no bonus
to the employees .. So employees will not have money .. So demand will decrease
on the product .. So price of product will decrease .. So how this will
increase inflation in long run , sir . Could you pls help me to connect it ,
sir ?

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